Gallop Swing States: Romney 48%, Obama 47%

This is the only reason any conservative would consider voting for Mitt Romney.

Screen Capture Via Gallop:

Obama vs. Gingrich- Obama 54%, Gingrich 40%
Obama vs. Paul- Obama 50%, Paul 43%
Obama vs. Santorum- Obama 51%, Santorum 44%

NPR Poll Finds Bad News For Democrats

NPR has polled vulnerable congressional swing districts and found a strong ant-incumbent and anti-democrat trend. Here is how NPR defines these swing districts.

For this poll, Bolger and Greenberg chose the districts where incumbents are considered the most vulnerable, and, in the case of open seats, the ones most likely to switch party control in November. Sixty are currently held by Democrats — many of whom won these seats even when voters in the same district preferred Republican John McCain for president in 2008. The other 10 districts are the flip side — held by Republicans in the House, even though their voters went for Barack Obama in 2008.

They found grim news for Democrats.



As you can see from the above chart, voters prefer Republican candidates in the 60 Democratic swing districts by a margin of 47 to 42. In Republican swing districts, voters prefer Republicans by a margin of 53 to 37. The 10 traditionally GOP swing districts look solid for Republicans. The 60 traditionally Democrat swing districts look very shaky for Democrats. Poll details here.

Voters in Key Congressional Swing Districts Hate Obamacare

A survey of 1,200 registered voters in 35 Congressional swing districts found an astoundingly strong opposition to the Democrats health care reform bill. Seven in ten said they would not vote for a House member who votes for the Senate health-care bill with its special interest provisions. The democrats elected from these districts hold the fate of Obamacare in their hands.

The survey shows astonishing intensity and sharp opposition to reform, far more than national polls reflect. For 82% of those surveyed, the heath-care bill is either the top or one of the top three issues for deciding whom to support for Congress next November. (That number goes to 88% among independent women.) Sixty percent want Congress to start from scratch on a bipartisan health-care reform proposal or stop working on it this year. Majorities say the legislation will make them and their loved ones (53%), the economy (54%) and the U.S. health-care system (55%) worse off—quite the trifecta.