Showing posts with label decline. Show all posts
Showing posts with label decline. Show all posts

Monday, April 19, 2010

Rasmussen: Belief in Global Warming is on the Decline


Belief that global warming is a serious problem has declined by eight points in the last year. Forty-three percent of voters don't believe global warming is a problem. That number may go up after people read this report which found 5,600 of the 18,500 sources in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) Nobel Prize-winning 2007 report were not peer reviewed. But...but...we were told the entire process was peer reviewed...

Rasmussen reported:
Voters continue to show less worry about global warming....

But 43% now say global warming is not serious, including 21% who say it is not at all serious. ...

Tuesday, April 13, 2010

Obama Shrinks Americans Wallets By 3.2 percent Since Taking Office


If you feel like you have less money since Barack Obama was elected, you may be right. Real personal income, excluding government payouts, has declined by 3.2 percent since President Obama took office almost 15 long months ago.

From the Washington Times:
Real personal income for Americans – excluding government payouts such as Social Security – has fallen by 3.2 percent since President Obama took office in January 2009, according to the Commerce Department’s Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Friday, December 11, 2009

The "Hide the Decline" Email Put in Context

Al Gore and other anthropogenic global warming believers claim the Climategate emails are taken out of context. Steve McIntyre at Climate Audit has blogged an excellent article that puts the Climategate "Hide the decline" email in context and it doesn't help the AGW position. In a nutshell, the IPCC wanted to use the historical proxy temperature change data in their Third Assessment Report, but they were concerned about the chart showing the wrong message since it declined in the late twentieth century.
A proxy diagram of temperature change is a clear favourite for the Policy Makers summary. But the current diagram with the tree ring only data [i.e. the Briffa reconstruction] somewhat contradicts the multiproxy curve and dilutes the message rather significantly… This is probably the most important issue to resolve in Chapter 2 at present.. (Folland, Sep 22, 1999, in 0938031546.txt)

Here is what the chart would have looked like.


Of course, this version wasn't used. The "Hide the decline" trick was implemented and the chart below was used.


It appears the context of the "Hide the decline" email was the IPCC wanted them to "Hide the decline." How is that for putting it in context?

From the new Climate Audit site:
Much recent attention has been paid to the email about the “trick” and the effort to “hide the decline”. Climate scientists have complained that this email has been taken “out of context”. In this case, I’m not sure that it’s in their interests that this email be placed in context because the context leads right back to a meeting of IPCC authors in Tanzania, raising serious questions about the role of IPCC itself in “hiding the decline” in the Briffa reconstruction.

Relevant Climategate correspondence in the period (September-October 1999) leading up to the trick email is incomplete, but, in context, is highly revealing. There was a meeting of IPCC lead authors between Sept 1-3, 1999 to consider the “zero-order draft” of the Third Assessment Report. The emails provide clear evidence that IPCC had already decided to include a proxy diagram reconstructing temperature for the past 1000 years and that a version of the proxy diagram was presented at the Tanzania meeting showing the late twentieth century decline. I now have a copy of the proxy diagram presented at this meeting (see below).

(More here)

Sunday, November 1, 2009

The Steady Decline of Obama's Popularity.

Rasmussen tracks the Daily Presidential Approval Index. The index is calculated by taking the percent that strongly approve and subtracting the percent that strongly disapprove. The index started at +23 in January and has declined to -10 in October. That is a 33 point swing in 10 months.


Rasmussen
reported:
When tracking President Obama’s job approval on a daily basis, people sometimes get so caught up in the day-to-day fluctuations that they miss the bigger picture. To look at the longer-term trends, Rasmussen Reports compiles the numbers on a full-month basis, and the results can be seen in the graphics below.

Monday, August 3, 2009

Tax revenues in severe decline

The economic recession has tax revenues in a severe decline. Meanwhile, Congress is still spending money like "drunken sailors on shore leave." Actually, that is a disservice to drunken sailors. They will stop spending when they run out of money.

From AP via Yahoo:
The recession is starving the government of tax revenue, just as the president and Congress are piling a major expansion of health care and other programs on the nation’s plate and struggling to find money to pay the tab.

The numbers could hardly be more stark: Tax receipts are on pace to drop 18 percent this year, the biggest single-year decline since the Great Depression, while the federal deficit balloons to a record $1.8 trillion.

Other figures in an Associated Press analysis underscore the recession’s impact: Individual income tax receipts are down 22 percent from a year ago. Corporate income taxes are down 57 percent. Social Security tax receipts could drop for only the second time since 1940, and Medicare taxes are on pace to drop for only the third time ever.


Graphic from AP.