Friday, August 3, 2012

New Pew Poll: If Democrats enjoy a D +19 turnout advantage, Obama will win by 10 points

Welcome to planet liberal...

Via Big Government:

On what alternate universe will Democrats enjoy a D +19 turnout advantage over Republicans on election day? Well, that would be Planet Pew:

"The latest national survey by the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press, conducted July 16-26, 2012, among 2,508 adults, including 1,956 registered voters, finds that, in keeping with his favorability advantage, Obama continues to hold a sizable lead over Romney in the election contest. Currently, 51% say they support Obama or lean toward him, while 41% support or lean toward Romney."


Sample Size

459 Republicans

813 Democrats

599 Independents

In the best election season Democrats have enjoyed since Nixon resigned, 2008, the Democrat advantage was only D+8, but Pew is now attempting to hustle us into believing the turnout this  year is going to be D +19.

Keep on reading...
At this point, I would take every poll except Rasmussen and Gallop tracking with a grain of salt. When it gets within a month of the election, the other pollsters will give up their political bias and poll more accurately because the final numbers they put out are the ones they will be rated by. 

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